Severe Weaher Threat Tonight

2:50 p.m. UPDATE:

A severe thunderstorm watch is now in effect for much of our region until 10 p.m. Hail to 2 inches in diameter and wind gusts up to 80 MPH are possible.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch for is now in effect for Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Salem, Somerset, Sussex, and Warren counties in New Jersey.

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes : Low (20%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes: Low (5%)

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events: High (>95%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots: Mod (60%)

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events: Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches: Mod (50%)

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events: High (>95%)






Northern and North Central New Jersey is under an unusual moderate risk designation for severe thunderstorms.

Damaging to destructive wind gusts appear to be the highest threat this evening into tonight. The thunderstorms will develop to our west and north and move east-southeast. At this point...most areas of NJ will see storms after 5 p.m. with the NW areas getting to see them possibly before the sun sets...hence the highest percentage of severe t-storms today in that area.

Some large hail cannot be ruled out...along with an isolated tornado.

A slight risk has now been issued for the rest of NJ...and with this heat...instability will linger into tonight to allow thunderstorms to persist after dark for a few hours.