Friday, January 28, 2011

1/28/2011 Extended Forecast: Another Clipper, Another Winter Storm



Snow showers will end across Central and Southern New Jersey as the evening rush is ending. Clouds will be hanging tight this evening, but they could break up overnight. Temperatures are around freezing and will drop below freezing as we lose daylight. This means black ice will form tonight as the snow has moistened the ground. Untreated surfaces will turn icy and hazardous. Be very careful.

Saturday Morning, we will have more clouds and black ice. Temperatures will once again rise into the middle thirties. Snow will arrive later in the day. The latest model guidance suggests an evening arrival from northwest to southeast. I think some of this will be arriving in the afternoon. The snow will move offshore early Sunday Morning. This is another coating to an inch of snow, with the possibility of over an inch in Sussex County if you heading to the mountains. Even if the snow does not produce a visible coating, it will moisten the roadways creating some black ice again Saturday Night. I will have more on this system in a late night update, so stay tuned.

A few clouds will linger on Sunday Morning, but expect the sun to break through the clouds by daylight across the area. Unlike last January 30, where my birthday was spent shoveling at night, this one looks to feature mostly clear skies at night. Monday looks to be mostly sunny.

Tuesday and Wednesday there will be several systems and factors leading to periods of accumulating snow. There will be more on this in the coming days on our site. There is the threat for a significant ice storm as well for portions of the region which see snow changing over to freezing rain. If some of the models are correct, we would be looking at power-outage producing ice in portions of the area or a heavy, wet snow. This time frame looks like there will plenty of moisture sources to work with as there is a strong gulf connection. At some point, there could be a double-barrel low situation which can make for a difficult forecast.

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