Tuesday, January 25, 2011

12z North American Model....MUCH Colder






**Note the images start from the bottom up**



The 12z North American Model that has just come in this morning shows a much colder storm for New Jersey. The "540 Line" does not even lift through all of Southern New Jersey. This means that the chance of liquid precipitation, according to this run, is decreasing. Even if there was some liquid or mixed precipitation, the NAM shows only about 0.25" of liquid during this time frame.

It also shows a whopper of a snowstorm about 36 hours from now. The model indicates the potential for 12 to 16 inches of snow in parts of New Jersey. I caution this is just one model run and this is not the forecast. We must wait for the other runs to come in later this morning and this afternoon.

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