Thursday, April 7, 2011

Record Warmth Expected on Monday---T-Storms Monday Night



Not much change from the previous forecast two days ago with the overall expectations of the weather features. A stalled frontal boundary will allow a wave of low pressure to ride along it on Friday. A cool, easterly flow will make for a miserable day. It will feel damp and cool with an east-northeast breeze. Rain should build in and if it is not raining, it will likely be drizzling.

On early Sunday Morning, a warm front will lift through the region. The warm front could be preceded by isolated showers and thunderstorms. The showers and thunderstorms along with clouds will likely clear the region by mid-morning and sun will appear from south to north. As the front clears, the sunshine will combine with a strong southerly flow to cause temperatures to accelerate. Middle seventies look very reasonable and I could see some locations in Southern New Jersey reach near 80 degrees.

On Monday, temperatures will soar into the middle eighties and we could potentially see some upper eighties. A cold front will approach at night into early Tuesday Morning. This timing, if it does not move up, will allow us to once again miss the brunt of what could potentially be another outbreak of severe weather to our west. However, with such warm temperatures expected even at night and at least some instability lingering from the intense April heat, I expect at least some scattered severe thunderstorms. The cold front and thunderstorms will bust the record warmth. However, temperatures will be in the sixties and seventies afterwards.

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