A large severe weather outbreak is in progress from Ohio and West Virginia down through Louisiana, Alabama, and Georgia. These thunderstorms have formed in advance of a powerful cold front being dragged right into a very decent warm sector. With nightfall, instability will wane to some degree. Therefore, as the activity slides eastward towards the Eastern United States, it should weaken. However, strong wind fields aloft suggest the potential will still be there for scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts when the storms arrive early on Tuesday Morning. The winds are strong enough aloft that it will not take the most organized thunderstorm to produce strong surface wind gusts. At this point, the modeling is suggesting the greatest potential for strong to severe thunderstorms south of Interstate 195. But, one could form virtually anywhere.
A wind advisory has been issued for all counties south of Interstate 195 for Tuesday Morning. The winds look to increase ahead of the front with gusts removed from thunderstorms near 45 or 50 MPH. The thunderstorms may also contain frequent wind gusts of 45 to 50 MPH. Severe thunderstorms are categorized as storms that produce 58 MPH or greater winds, large hail of 1.00” in diameter or greater, and/or a tornado. I also wouldn’t be surprised if there is another two to three hour burst of gusty winds behind the cold front.
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