The excessive rains have arrived in our region, as expected during this time frame. Rainfall rates of more than one-half inch per hour are easily occurring with this band that is forming right along a zone of convergence. The band has both a Gulf of Mexico connection and is also being aided by moisture from the Atlantic Ocean.
An additional one to two inches of rain will occur with this band (in less than 4 hours) as it lingers over New Jersey, before eventually pushing north and east. 19 of 21 counties in New Jersey are now under a flood warning of some sort, whether it is a general areal flood warning or a specific waterway flood warning. By sunrise, significant flooding will be in progress with low-lying areas, creeks, and streams and eventually this flooding will shift to the larger creeks and the rivers. Again, up in Northern New Jersey, flooding along the riverbeds has been in progress since the last heavy rain event.
For all the flood warnings: http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=flood warning
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