Today turned out to feature a lot more sunshine than previously anticipated as the southern storm system cleared much faster than previously expected. The extra sunshine allowed temperatures to push into the forties. Tonight, under the clear skies, temperatures should drop into the twenties area wide. Snow remains a factor in Northwestern New Jersey which could cause temperatures to drop into the teens in these regions.
With a continuing Greenland block, dry air and below average temperatures will remain in place for Monday and Tuesday. The Canadian high pressure area will gradually ease on Tuesday Night into Wednesday.
The latest computer model guidance has been hinting at a potential for a storm system for the middle of this week and perhaps a second storm system late in the week. There has been a good deal of uncertainty over which of the two storm systems would be the bigger and stronger of the two. The stronger storm some of the models hint at for Friday would require a weaker midweek storm. A stronger midweek storm would most likely limit the potential for the strong energy to develop in time for Friday. Of course strength and positioning would determine key factors such as precipitation types, wind speeds, measurable amounts, and surface temperatures. It is too early to predict all of these factors with great confidence since there is considerable uncertainty.
I’ll keep a sharp eye on the long range guidance as these two potential systems approach. The extended forecast graphic will return tomorrow as a slight modification and redesign is underway to provide greater accuracy.
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