Friday, February 25, 2011

2/25/2011 Extended Forecast



The wind is done! Here is the wind gusts today and damage:

NEW JERSEY

...ANZ430...
SHIP JOHN SHOAL NOS 60 400 PM 2/25

...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
ATLANTIC CITY 60 521 PM 2/25

...CAPE MAY COUNTY...
CAPE MAY 57 455 PM 2/25
WEST CAPE MAY 55 500 PM 2/25
WOODBINE 47 500 PM 2/25
WILDWOOD 46 515 PM 2/25

...CUMBERLAND COUNTY...
BIVALVE 55 400 PM 2/25
UPPER DEERFIELD TWP 50 400 PM 2/25

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
CLAYTON 55 400 PM 2/25

...MERCER COUNTY...
TRENTON 52 345 PM 2/25

...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
KEANSBURG 54 200 PM 2/25
SANDY HOOK 51 600 PM 2/25
CREAM RIDGE 51 401 PM 2/25
SEA GIRT 46 600 PM 2/25

...OCEAN COUNTY...
TUCKERTON 61 455 PM 2/25
BRICK TWP 59 455 PM 2/25
HARVEY CEDARS 55 600 PM 2/25
BARNEGAT 54 600 PM 2/25
LAKEHURST 53 510 PM 2/25
POINT PLEASANT 50 500 PM 2/25

0930 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG WOODSTOWN 39.65N 75.33W
02/25/2011 SALEM NJ FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

TREE FELL INTO A GARAGE WHICH TOOK DOWN POWER LINES.
PROPANE TANKS WERE ALSO MOVED AND LEAKING. NO INJURIES
REPORTED.

0112 PM TSTM WND GST HIGHLAND PARK 40.50N 74.43W
02/25/2011 E55 MPH MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

ALSO PEA SIZE HAIL

0115 PM TSTM WND DMG WOODBURY 39.84N 75.15W
02/25/2011 GLOUCESTER NJ 911 CALL CENTER

TREES DOWN.

0120 PM TSTM WND DMG WESTAMPTON TWP 40.02N 74.83W
02/25/2011 BURLINGTON NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE KNOCKED DOWN

0140 PM LIGHTNING WASHINGTON TWP 39.75N 75.07W
02/25/2011 GLOUCESTER NJ 911 CALL CENTER

SCHOOL STRUCK BY LIGHTNING


0156 PM TSTM WND DMG AUDUBON 39.89N 75.07W
02/25/2011 CAMDEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE FELL INTO A TRAFFIC LIGHT WHICH THEN TOOK DOWN
POWER LINES.

0200 PM TSTM WND DMG LAKEWOOD 40.10N 74.22W
02/25/2011 OCEAN NJ PUBLIC

SMASHED WINDOWS... SHINGLES OFF ROOFS... GARBAGE CANS
TOSSED... MICROBURST SIGNATURE ON RADAR... 1000 FT
ESTIMATED WINDS 75 MPH.

0208 PM HAIL BRICKTOWN 40.06N 74.14W
02/25/2011 M0.25 INCH OCEAN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

0230 PM TSTM WND DMG SEASIDE HEIGHTS 39.94N 74.08W
02/25/2011 OCEAN NJ BROADCAST MEDIA

ROOF PARTIALLY BLOWN OFF A BUILDING ON SHERMAN
AVENUE... SHINGLES BLOWN OFF OTHER BUILDINGS. FENCE
BLOWN DOWN.

0349 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BEAR 39.62N 75.68W
02/25/2011 M58 MPH NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SHIP JOHN SHOAL NOS 39.30N 75.38W
02/25/2011 M60 MPH ANZ430 NJ C-MAN STATION

0406 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BRANDYWINE SHOAL NOS 38.99N 75.11W
02/25/2011 M68 MPH ANZ431 DE C-MAN STATION

0415 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PINE HILL 39.79N 74.99W
02/25/2011 CAMDEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

SNAPPED POWER LINE AND NEARBY TREE DAMAGE

0424 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HAMMONTON 39.65N 74.77W
02/25/2011 ATLANTIC NJ FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

TREE DOWN ON CAR AND ALSO WIRES DOWN.

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ERIAL 39.77N 75.01W
02/25/2011 CAMDEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

PRIVACY FENCES BLOWN DOWN... ESTIMATED WIND GUST OVER
60 MPH.

0455 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BRICK TWP 40.07N 74.12W
02/25/2011 M59 MPH OCEAN NJ MESONET

0455 PM NON-TSTM WND GST TUCKERTON 39.60N 74.33W
02/25/2011 M61 MPH OCEAN NJ MESONET

0521 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY 39.38N 74.45W
02/25/2011 M60 MPH ATLANTIC NJ ASOS

0525 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ATLANTIC CITY 39.38N 74.45W
02/25/2011 ATLANTIC NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

LARGE BILLBOARDS HANGING AND BLOWING DOWN. AN 8 BLOCK
RADIUS OF ATLANTIC CITY REPORTED AREAS OF WIND DAMAGE...
FROM THE BOARDWALK TO SOUTH KENTUCKY AVENUE.

0550 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ATLANTIC CITY 39.38N 74.45W
02/25/2011 ATLANTIC NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

LIGHT POLE FELL ON CAR AT AUTO DEALERSHIP



Saturday will be mostly sunny during the day with a breeze. Temperatures will be a bit on the chilly side. A clipper passing to our north on Saturday Night into Sunday Morning will give our region increasing cloudiness. There is the possibility of snow flurries or sprinkles. A snow shower is possible in Northern New Jersey which perhaps could coat the ground. Temperatures will rise on Sunday and be above freezing virtually everywhere by afternoon, so any light accumulations of snow would melt in Northern New Jersey. Overall, none of the models are indicating much measurable precipitation in our viewership area which is Central and Southern New Jersey.

On late Sunday Night and Monday Morning, a low pressure system will be cutting up through the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. This system is projected to move further north than the previous system we just experienced. This means that we will likely avoid the heaviest rain and that this will be an even warmer storm as the warm front will likely lift through the entire area. An inch of rain, maybe two, could still fall as the warm front lifts through. There could even be a few thunderstorms. We could see some clearing by later Monday Morning and Monday Afternoon. The sunshine in the warm sector means we might see portions of our region approach the upper sixties and lower seventies. The wet ground and some clouds may limit how warm we can go. The winds could really mix to the surface with the sunshine ahead of a strong evening cold front. However, the highest winds may be reserved with a potential line of thunderstorms that will move in from the west during the evening and then again another round of gusty winds with the cold front itself. This could be more of a convective wind event, but wind advisory to high wind warning winds cannot be ruled out prior to and after the frontal passage. The wind threat can be more closely looked at on Sunday.

On Tuesday, it at least looks like a windy and colder day. Wednesday look mostly sunny. Another storm could impact the region late next week. It is interesting that the long range guidance suggests a negative North Atlantic Oscillation again which favors coastal storms and colder weather.

If anyone has some pictures of wind damage, doug@phillyweather.net

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