This forecast marks the official launch of my new website centralsouthnj.blogspot.com. This website will be getting better as the next few weeks go by. I launched it as soon as I could, earlier than anticipated, due to the winter weather that is on the agenda for the next two weeks. This has certainly turned out not be a disappointing winter for frozen precipitation lovers. It is a pattern not seen in dozens of years, if ever.
Anyhow, for the rest of this week, I will be posting just an extended forecast and an extended forecast discussion on this site. This will be in addition to any postings about the upcoming storms and what the latest computer models are indicating for our region. As the weeks progress, I will be hopefully adding a daily planner with the daily extended forecasts and some other graphics as well with regional weather mapping. If you have any suggestions, please let me know. Please also inform your friends of this website.
Tonight: Another round of precipitation, not nearly as heavy as what we observed today, will push into our region from the west. In-between this system, there are some breaks in the clouds over Central Pennsylvania. I am concerned that these breaks could allow for our region to clear partially which in return would take minimum temperatures down to around or just below the freezing point. This raises the concern for some black ice. This also raises the possibility that the precipitation around dawn, again light in intensity, would be some form of freezing rain or sleet. This could also end as a sleet or snow mixture. Temperatures right now in interior Central and Southern New Jersey range from 36 to 39 degrees. Atlantic City has now dropped into that range as well, after reaching a high temperature of 50 degrees. The drop has been quite impressive in Atlantic City. The temperature went from 50 to 42 to 38 in just three hours. Anyhow, the idea here is that we no longer have substantial warmer air coming in. Therefore, if there are no breaks in the clouds we may avoid near freezing temperatures by a slim margin. Should we see some clear skies, we may not. One other note is the potential for a bit of drizzle or fog. This would potentially to also keep what warmth there is at the surface. Earlier the fog looked pretty widespread, but not dense. The visibilities seem to have improved for the moment, but I would not be shocked to see decreasing visibility once the sun sets for a period of time.
Wednesday: The morning rush hour could be tricky as temperatures will be close to freezing. Again, whether they hit 32 or not will make a big difference. Details are in the paragraph above.
Thursday: Sunny for the first part of the day. Then it will turn cloudy as the evening progresses. Some snow may develop late.
Friday: This could be a pretty significant winter storm. Some of the latest model guidance indicates the potential for a substantial snow with some mixing of sleet and freezing rain towards the coastline. There is some uncertainty this far out as to how far inland the sleet and freezing rain mixture moves in. that would keep down the snow totals should this occur, but allow for ice accretion.
Saturday: It will likely be windy with such a strong storm system to our North and East. Some of the guidance indicates potentially the coldest air of the winter thus far.
Another storm system with a potential for snow or a wintry mix is possible next week.
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