The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch for Somerset and Hunterdon Counties in Central New Jersey. Northwestern New Jersey has also been placed in the watch area. This is the area which will likely not see any plain rain during the milder part of the storm….allowing frozen precipitation to occur most of the day. This area will also be expected to pick up additional snowfall as colder air moves in on the backside of this Nor’easter. Therefore, with an all frozen event, confidence is high in this area that winter storm criterion will be met.
Elsewhere, no winter products have been issued at this moment. The National Weather Service is holding off at the moment on the rest of the region. They will likely make a decision after the late morning guidance is received and analyzed. At this moment, I think some counties will definitely be added to the watch area if the trends continue.
A snow map will be posted late this afternoon. The 12z Guidance is going to play a crucial role in how we develop a snowfall forecast map.
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