Showers and thunderstorms will once again be possible today. After morning fog burns off, some peaks of sunshine are likely. This will once again set the stage for afternoon and evening thunderstorms that could approach severe limits. Large hail and an isolated tornado will once again be possible, along with a hit or miss strong gust of wind. We have really been lucky so far as tornadoes have occurred in Maryland and Pennsylvania. Flash flooding could once again be a threat as well as storms will move slowly and contain very heavy rainfall. A few pockets on Thursday picked up copious amounts of rain in real localized pockets. The model guidance shows slightly less coverage today and the better chances in the northeastern parts of New Jersey. But honestly, due to the position of the low, New Jersey may see more activity today than on Thursday where 70 percent was focused in Pennsylvania and Maryland down through Delaware.
On Saturday, an isolated thunderstorm still cannot be ruled out. This could be a day where the boardwalk ends up with more activity than the interior or the storms fire up just offshore.
For Sunday, a warm front arriving could produce a few widely scattered showers. On Monday, we will be in the warm sector at this point, bearing nothing changes. On Tuesday, a cold front will begin to approach the region. There are some signs that this front could move slowly or become stationary in our region for Wednesday and Thursday. We would be stuck in the southerly flow and conditions could become quite warm and humid. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday and especially Wednesday and Thursday. More opportunities for severe weather and flooding appear to be on the table.
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