A few thunderstorms are likely on Tuesday ahead of a cold front. The models have trended warmer in the past few runs and this likely means more instability. For now, the Storm Prediction Center has the greatest chances of severe weather to our west. This may change in future forecasts if the frontal timing is moved up. This biggest issue preventing severe wx at this point in our region is the arrival of the most intense forcing after dark into early on Wednesday.
However, some heavy downpours, gusty winds, small hail, and lightning remains possible with any t-storm despite low chances of severe wx.
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