Parts of Northwestern New Jersey into North-Central New Jersey will be spending the day evaluating the storm damage and cleaning up after powerful thunderstorms downed trees and produced hail up to the size of 1.50” in diameter.
Another day of thunderstorms, some severe, is expected, especially in the same areas that got pounded yesterday. There are a couple of reasons for the threat area being where it is. First, a stalled cold front has failed to make much eastward progress and while a bit further east today…it is not far enough east to shift the focus to the coast. Second, the southerly wind is bringing in oceanic air right along the eastern counties keeping temperatures several degrees cooler and the air more stable at the coast.
As mentioned…today’s front is a bit further to the east…so some a few isolated thunderstorms could make it a bit closer to the heart of the region later tonight and they could be severe with remaining instability. Yesterday’s thunderstorms got much further than the model guidance indicated and were much stronger, hence the problems in Northwestern New Jersey. Meanwhile, the edges of the area such as those in Hunterdon County will probably see late afternoon and evening thunderstorms that are potentially going to be severe.
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