I hate to be so to the point, but this is a severe weather day for New Jersey. Severe thunderstorms are maintaining their intensity and will regain some of their strength now that the sunshine is up. The severe thunderstorms are presently across Central Maryland and Virginia into Central Pennsylvania. You want to monitor the storm cells to our southwest and those that pop-up ahead of the line.
The super cell composite and tornado composite is off the charts for New Jersey standards. Confidence of at least one tornado in the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas is high for me. I think there is a decent chance of 2 or more tornadoes as well within 25 or 50 miles of a point. The primary risk is damaging wind gusts, but tornadoes are possible along with large hail.
Throughout the morning and afternoon, please stay with NOAA Weather Radio for the latest weather information or a local media source. Take action if a tornado warning or severe thunderstorm warning is issued for the region. I encourage school officials and other public safety officials to think about taking action if a severe weather watch is issued. Some sunshine has been poking through the clouds in parts of New Jersey and this is just self-destructing.
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