A cold front will meander around the region on Tuesday and then go into reverse as a warm front. During the transition process, a few waves of low pressure will be riding along the front providing plenty of clouds with showers and thunderstorms. Southern areas could be quite warmer than northern areas with it very dependent on which side of the front you reside on. This front may also allow for some severe convection on in the warmer sector as the waves ride along the frontal boundary.
On Wednesday, a cold front will come into the region. The models are not all that robust with the afternoon and evening t-storm potential, but with the region potentially all in the warm sector and an approaching trigger...some severe thunderstorms are possible...even if not widespread.
With many waterways near flood stage and running high, 0.50" inches of rain may pose some problems and certainly any heavier thunderstorms would be of great concern.
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