I continue to maintain at this hour that this storm will be insignificant. The latest NAM and GFS modeling supports my thinking.
Moderate snow AT BEST in the Northwestern New Jersey counties under a winter storm warning; many areas under the warning would appear to receive advisory type snow if the modeling is correct.
Rainfall that won’t lead to flooding, the latest NAM and GFS indicate less than three-quarters of an inch of liquid across the state now to work with. Yes, it could be heavy at times….but it won’t flood.
Wind I think will be the biggest effect from this storm, although this won’t be the windiest coastal storm at all when it passes our latitude. Maybe gusts of past 45 MPH in our coastal counties…that is being optimistic.
Snow showers on the backside for Central NJ at this point…again I maintain it is remote and that if there was a burst…we are talking about minor accumulations.
Unfortunately, many other sources forecasted a big flood and/or significant snowstorm. Do you know how many people today at a South Jersey diner said that we were going to get big snowstorm and were asking me how much? More than 12 people in just one shot. That is why people shouldn’t get carried away with rogue runs or the use of the word “snow”. It is not everyone’s fault…some sources were accurate…but people also don’t listen and when snow is forecast for the north…they just choose the word SNOW and everyone thinks oh my goodness it is going to snow here.
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