A weak disturbance passing south of Trenton tonight will cause an increase in cloudiness and perhaps trigger some flurries or a snow shower. Unless something unexpected occurs, most areas should just see a few flakes in the air.
On Saturday, skies should clear by mid-morning, become sunny for a time, and then more clouds ahead of a southern storm will move in by evening. The skies will range from partly cloudy in the evening north and mostly cloudy south.
The southern storm will be passing to the south of New Jersey on Sunday. If the latest modeling is correct, there could be no measurable precipitation even in extreme southern portions of New Jersey. Glimpses of sunshine are possible north, while overcast skies are likely south. With snow cover far north, we may not see warmer temperatures despite more sunshine. Thirties appear likely in the snow covered regions north and in the overcast regions. Central New Jersey could push 40 degrees if there is sunshine. But given several factors, I am forecasting the middle thirties now for high temperatures. I will leave the chance for a southern flurry in the forecast or isolated snow showers, but at this point the chance for snowflakes is decreasing dramatically.
Slightly warmer, but still well below average temperatures will occur Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. On Wednesday, some rain is likely with the next system. There could be some mixing initially across northern sections of the state. A few models are colder and further south, which would introduce more widespread mixing chances.
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