Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Winter Storm Watch in North Jersey



A winter storm watch was posted a short time ago for the higher elevation counties of Northern New Jersey.

A watch implies that winter storm conditions are possible. Whether this will be upgraded to a warning remains to be seen.

Most of the snow in these areas would be as the storm wraps in colder air and pulls away. At this point, the 12z GFS showed the snow accumulation to be below warning criteria in these areas in my opinion... but the higher elevation could play a role and fool the model take.

For Central and Southern New Jersey...there are no winter products attm as this will be more liquid as frozen and my fcst/discn holds from earlier today.

Meanwhile, the 18z NAM just in does show a bit of a western trend, but still no potent coastal low for our region as of yet.

Tonight, late, I will look at the 18z GFS and the 00z runs as they come in.

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