Lakehurst, Mount Holly, Wrightstown, Trenton, and Southampton Townships in New Jersey are now standing at 29 degrees for a current temperature. Belmar and Newark is at 28 degrees. Somerville is currently at 25 degrees and Morristown is 24 degrees. So as you head deeper into Central New Jersey you see the cold air is really locked into these locations. It makes me believe these areas may see a change to plain rain much later, if at all. Meantime the 28-29 degree tier of temperatures may not approach the freezing mark until the morning commute, but a SE wind shift will likely begin to push these numbers up a degree within the next few hours when that shift occurs. Still, heavier precipitation will occur before that time and I could see one-quarter of an inch in these areas before the changeover.
The ice storm warning has not been extended into any additional locations in New Jersey. However, the warning area now includes Philadelphia. When looking at the temperatures at this hour, it appears the northeast and northerly winds are continuing to lock in the colder air and the temperatures have actually dropped a degree even in parts of South Jersey. I would not be shocked to see an ice storm warning extension into the western Southern New Jersey areas.
In addition, the models are indicating some elevated instability in the region as there could be a fairly good difference in temperature between Trenton and Atlantic City. This means there could be some thunderstorms, even on the colder side of the warm front. On the warmer side, there could be some gusty winds with these storms. In addition, the southeast wind could be fairly decent for the shore points. So even without icing down in Atlantic City and Cape May, some gusty winds and gusty thunderstorms could produce some power outages.
We will have to watch for flooding of poor drainage areas on Wednesday.
Jersey Central Power and Light: [New Jersey]
http://www.firstenergycorp.com/outages/outages.do?state_code=NJ
Public Service Electric and Gas: [Western, Central, and Northern New Jersey]
http://www.pseg.com/home/customer_service/outage_info/outagemap.jsp
Atlantic City Electric: [South Jersey]
http://www.atlanticcityelectric.com/home/emergency/maps/stormcenter/default.aspx
Orange and Rockland: [Extreme North Jersey]
http://wp1.coned.com/or_stormcenter/default.aspx
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