A strong cold front will cross the area on Monday Night into Tuesday. It is appearing as though most of the precipitation will fall after the colder air arrives. This means that we could be dealing with some snow squalls or snow/sleet showers that could end up giving us a six hour period of light snow and sleet accumulation. Before that cold air advection comes in, we have the chance for rain or rain and snow showers.
The models seem to hint at low pressure developing along this front as it crosses our region which would intensify the precipitation along the boundary. This frontal passage will have to be monitored for interaction with moisture coming up from Florida to see if it would generate a coastal low or intensify a low forming on the front further. The frontal passage could usher in some fairly good wind gusts.
00z GFS: Shows the best chance for of 1-3 inches of snow in Northern New Jersey.
00z NAM: Shows the best chance for 1-3 inches of snow in Southern New Jersey.
I think it will a compromise between the two possible solutions. One thing is for sure, this storm will be very critical in setting the stage for a potential late week storm.
No comments:
Post a Comment